Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.451946e-05 4.089189e-05 0.000048 0.000056 0.000065 0.000074 0.000085
2025-02-23 2.686676e-05 3.523388e-05 0.000045 0.000057 0.000071 0.000086 0.000106
2025-03-02 1.941056e-05 2.815000e-05 0.000039 0.000053 0.000070 0.000091 0.000116
2025-03-09 1.466533e-05 2.341163e-05 0.000035 0.000050 0.000071 0.000095 0.000127
2025-03-16 1.141104e-05 1.999486e-05 0.000032 0.000049 0.000072 0.000100 0.000138
2025-03-23 9.144556e-06 1.753294e-05 0.000030 0.000048 0.000073 0.000106 0.000150
2025-03-30 7.222650e-06 1.521652e-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000074 0.000110 0.000160
2025-04-06 5.537027e-06 1.293480e-05 0.000025 0.000045 0.000074 0.000113 0.000168
2025-04-13 3.932922e-06 1.041857e-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000071 0.000112 0.000171
2025-04-20 2.988079e-06 8.902978e-06 0.000020 0.000040 0.000070 0.000114 0.000178
2025-04-27 2.378519e-06 7.915849e-06 0.000019 0.000039 0.000071 0.000118 0.000188
2025-05-04 2.015265e-06 7.384134e-06 0.000019 0.000040 0.000074 0.000125 0.000201
2025-05-11 1.867281e-06 7.506424e-06 0.000020 0.000044 0.000083 0.000142 0.000232
2025-05-18 1.448816e-06 6.786368e-06 0.000019 0.000044 0.000088 0.000154 0.000254
2025-05-25 8.547986e-07 5.209143e-06 0.000017 0.000041 0.000085 0.000154 0.000262
2025-06-01 5.122966e-07 4.140462e-06 0.000015 0.000039 0.000085 0.000157 0.000273
2025-06-08 3.057816e-07 3.365040e-06 0.000014 0.000038 0.000085 0.000162 0.000286
2025-06-15 1.838113e-07 2.811598e-06 0.000013 0.000037 0.000086 0.000168 0.000301
2025-06-22 9.783953e-08 2.281502e-06 0.000011 0.000036 0.000087 0.000172 0.000315
2025-06-29 4.193132e-08 1.766616e-06 0.000010 0.000034 0.000086 0.000175 0.000325
2025-07-06 1.023888e-08 1.227425e-06 0.000009 0.000032 0.000082 0.000173 0.000327
2025-07-13 2.138254e-09 9.323762e-07 0.000008 0.000030 0.000082 0.000175 0.000338
2025-07-20 2.961572e-10 7.534623e-07 0.000007 0.000030 0.000083 0.000181 0.000353